Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.021993 0.023614 0.025302 0.027191 0.029250 0.031427 0.033908
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.019316 0.021652 0.024211 0.027229 0.030703 0.034589 0.039282
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.017277 0.019990 0.023075 0.026860 0.031402 0.036708 0.043416
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.015659 0.018577 0.021996 0.026325 0.031699 0.038204 0.046749
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.014506 0.017579 0.021273 0.026078 0.032222 0.039895 0.050323
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013540 0.016715 0.020616 0.025814 0.032636 0.041396 0.053676
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012584 0.015785 0.019795 0.025251 0.032580 0.042225 0.056124
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.012082 0.015394 0.019623 0.025496 0.033568 0.044459 0.060594
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.011528 0.014896 0.019269 0.025457 0.034140 0.046126 0.064344
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011159 0.014616 0.019179 0.025755 0.035174 0.048471 0.069206
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010634 0.014094 0.018728 0.025512 0.035408 0.049660 0.072400
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010199 0.013672 0.018387 0.025398 0.035804 0.051086 0.076025
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009713 0.013159 0.017899 0.025051 0.035844 0.051991 0.078917
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009387 0.012856 0.017693 0.025100 0.036472 0.053821 0.083413
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008971 0.012405 0.017249 0.024768 0.036491 0.054688 0.086370
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008541 0.011914 0.016724 0.024282 0.036235 0.055091 0.088555
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008214 0.011559 0.016383 0.024058 0.036372 0.056123 0.091872
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007904 0.011217 0.016045 0.023817 0.036464 0.057072 0.095094
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007543 0.010784 0.015551 0.023306 0.036081 0.057197 0.096828
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007391 0.010660 0.015521 0.023529 0.036917 0.059430 0.102569
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007183 0.010443 0.015338 0.023493 0.037313 0.060916 0.107015
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007061 0.010351 0.015344 0.023764 0.038239 0.063381 0.113510
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006830 0.010083 0.015062 0.023544 0.038300 0.064295 0.117032